{"id":13740,"date":"2026-05-12T10:00:48","date_gmt":"2026-05-12T08:00:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/?p=13740"},"modified":"2026-05-15T13:32:30","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T11:32:30","slug":"o-que-o-gas-do-rovuma-gera-realmente-para-mocambique","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/2026\/05\/12\/o-que-o-gas-do-rovuma-gera-realmente-para-mocambique\/","title":{"rendered":"O QUE O G\u00c1S DO ROVUMA GERA REALMENTE PARA MO\u00c7AMBIQUE?"},"content":{"rendered":"

O projecto Coral Sul FLNG, a \u00fanica iniciativa de GNL em produ\u00e7\u00e3o em Mo\u00e7ambique at\u00e9 2025, gerou USD 253 <\/i>milh\u00f5es em receitas fiscais entre 2022 e 2025. Este valor, embora significativo, insere-se num contexto <\/i>macroecon\u00f3mico de fragilidade. O PIB de Mo\u00e7ambique \u00e9 de cerca de USD 22,4 mil milh\u00f5es. A d\u00edvida soberana <\/i>ultrapassa os USD 12,5 mil milh\u00f5es e o servi\u00e7o da d\u00edvida absorve uma frac\u00e7\u00e3o crescente da receita fiscal. As <\/i>projec\u00e7\u00f5es de longo prazo deste estudo oferecem uma leitura mais s\u00f3bria do que a narrativa dominante sobre a <\/i>transforma\u00e7\u00e3o econ\u00f3mica via GNL.<\/i><\/p>\n

No cen\u00e1rio base (USD 12\/MMBtu), o Coral Sul dever\u00e1 gerar USD 4.028 mil milh\u00f5es em receitas fiscais ao longo <\/i>dos 27 anos do projecto, o que corresponde a uma m\u00e9dia de USD 149 milh\u00f5es por ano. No cen\u00e1rio stress (USD <\/i>8\/MMBtu, compat\u00edvel com traject\u00f3ria de transi\u00e7\u00e3o energ\u00e9tica acelerada), o total cai para USD 1.456 mil milh\u00f5es, <\/i>com IRPC igual a zero ao longo de toda a vida do projecto. No cen\u00e1rio optimista (USD 16\/MMBtu), o total atinge <\/i>USD 11.355 mil milh\u00f5es. A amplitude entre cen\u00e1rios \u00e9 de 7,8 vezes, o que ilustra a vulnerabilidade extrema das <\/i>receitas fiscais mo\u00e7ambicanas \u00e0 volatilidade do pre\u00e7o internacional do GNL, uma vari\u00e1vel sobre a qual Mo\u00e7ambique <\/i>n\u00e3o tem qualquer controlo.<\/i><\/p>\n

Read the full report<\/a><\/p>\n

Apresentac\u00e3o Receitas bacia do Rovuma<\/a><\/p>\n

Modelo Fiscal Coral Sul FLNG Final<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O projecto Coral Sul FLNG, a \u00fanica iniciativa de GNL em produ\u00e7\u00e3o em Mo\u00e7ambique at\u00e9 2025, gerou USD 253 milh\u00f5es em receitas fiscais entre 2022 e 2025. Este valor, embora significativo, insere-se num contexto macroecon\u00f3mico de fragilidade. O PIB de Mo\u00e7ambique \u00e9 de cerca de USD 22,4 mil milh\u00f5es. A d\u00edvida soberana ultrapassa os USD<\/p>","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":14117,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_rtcl_gb_attr":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"coauthors":[64],"class_list":["post-13740","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-industria-extractiva"],"yoast_head":"\nO QUE O G\u00c1S DO ROVUMA GERA REALMENTE PARA MO\u00c7AMBIQUE? - CIP - Centro de Integridade P\u00fablica<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/2026\/05\/12\/o-que-o-gas-do-rovuma-gera-realmente-para-mocambique\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"O QUE O G\u00c1S DO ROVUMA GERA REALMENTE PARA MO\u00c7AMBIQUE? - CIP - Centro de Integridade P\u00fablica\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"O projecto Coral Sul FLNG, a \u00fanica iniciativa de GNL em produ\u00e7\u00e3o em Mo\u00e7ambique at\u00e9 2025, gerou USD 253 milh\u00f5es em receitas fiscais entre 2022 e 2025. 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