{"id":13744,"date":"2026-05-12T10:00:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-12T08:00:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/?p=13744"},"modified":"2026-05-13T20:00:41","modified_gmt":"2026-05-13T18:00:41","slug":"what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/","title":{"rendered":"WHAT DOES ROVUMA GAS ACTUALLY BRING TO MOZAMBIQUE?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"s100\"><span class=\"s85\">The Coral Sul FLNG project, the only LNG initiative in production in Mozambique until 2025, generated $253 million in tax revenue between 2022 and 2025. Although significant, this figure is set against a fragile macroeconomic context. Mozambique&#8217;s GDP stands at around $22.4 billion. Sovereign debt exceeds $12.5 billion, and debt service accounts for an increasing share of tax revenue. The long-term projections in this study paint a more <\/span><span class=\"s85\">realistic<\/span> <span class=\"s85\">view<\/span><span class=\"s85\"> than the prevailing narrative regarding economic transformation through LNG.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s100\"><span class=\"s85\">Under the baseline scenario ($12\/MMBtu), the Coral Sul project is expected to generate $4.028 billion in tax revenue over the course of the project\u2019s 27-year lifespan, which corresponds to an average of $149 million per year. In the stress scenario ($8\/MMBtu, consistent with an accelerated energy transition trajectory), the total falls to $1.456 billion, with IRPC equal to zero throughout the project\u2019s entire lifetime. In the optimistic scenario ($16\/MMBtu), the total comes to $11.355 billion. The range between scenarios is 7.8 times, which illustrates the extreme vulnerability of Mozambique\u2019s tax revenues to fluctuations in international LNG price, a factor over which Mozambique has no control.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/WHAT-DOES-ROVUMA-GAS-ACTUALLY-BRING-TO-MOZAMBIQUE-2.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Read the full report<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Coral Sul FLNG project, the only LNG initiative in production in Mozambique until 2025, generated $253 million in tax revenue between 2022 and 2025. Although significant, this figure is set against a fragile macroeconomic context. Mozambique&#8217;s GDP stands at around $22.4 billion. Sovereign debt exceeds $12.5 billion, and debt service accounts for an increasing<\/p>","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":14117,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_rtcl_gb_attr":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"coauthors":[64],"class_list":["post-13744","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-industria-extractiva"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>WHAT DOES ROVUMA GAS ACTUALLY BRING TO MOZAMBIQUE? - CIP - Centro de Integridade P\u00fablica<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"WHAT DOES ROVUMA GAS ACTUALLY BRING TO MOZAMBIQUE? - CIP - Centro de Integridade P\u00fablica\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Coral Sul FLNG project, the only LNG initiative in production in Mozambique until 2025, generated $253 million in tax revenue between 2022 and 2025. Although significant, this figure is set against a fragile macroeconomic context. Mozambique&#8217;s GDP stands at around $22.4 billion. Sovereign debt exceeds $12.5 billion, and debt service accounts for an increasing\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CIP - Centro de Integridade P\u00fablica\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/web.facebook.com\/CIP.Mozambique\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-05-12T08:00:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-05-13T18:00:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/industria_extrativa1232.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1100\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"631\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"CIP Centro de integridade Publica\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@CIPMoz\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@CIPMoz\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"CIP Centro de integridade Publica\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/12\\\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/12\\\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"CIP Centro de integridade Publica\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/pt\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/c53d8d005fb6fbfa55503cd13321dab0\"},\"headline\":\"WHAT DOES ROVUMA GAS ACTUALLY BRING TO MOZAMBIQUE?\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-05-12T08:00:25+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-05-13T18:00:41+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/12\\\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":189,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/12\\\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/07\\\/extrativa-industria.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Ind\u00fastria extractiva\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/12\\\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/12\\\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\\\/\",\"name\":\"WHAT DOES ROVUMA GAS ACTUALLY BRING TO MOZAMBIQUE? - CIP - Centro de Integridade P\u00fablica\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/pt\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/12\\\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/12\\\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/07\\\/extrativa-industria.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-05-12T08:00:25+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-05-13T18:00:41+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/pt\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/c53d8d005fb6fbfa55503cd13321dab0\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/12\\\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/12\\\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/12\\\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/07\\\/extrativa-industria.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/07\\\/extrativa-industria.jpg\",\"width\":947,\"height\":357},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/12\\\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"In\u00edcio\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"WHAT DOES ROVUMA GAS ACTUALLY BRING TO MOZAMBIQUE?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/pt\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/pt\\\/\",\"name\":\"CIP - Centro de Integridade P\u00fablica\",\"description\":\"Promo\u00e7\u00e3o da Transpar\u00eancia, Anti-corrup\u00e7\u00e3o e Integridade em Mo\u00e7ambique.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/pt\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/pt\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/c53d8d005fb6fbfa55503cd13321dab0\",\"name\":\"CIP Centro de integridade Publica\",\"sameAs\":[\"http:\\\/\\\/cipmoz.org\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.cipmoz.org\\\/en\\\/author\\\/ci3plmqz2in735293sf\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"WHAT DOES ROVUMA GAS ACTUALLY BRING TO MOZAMBIQUE? - CIP - Centro de Integridade P\u00fablica","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"WHAT DOES ROVUMA GAS ACTUALLY BRING TO MOZAMBIQUE? - CIP - Centro de Integridade P\u00fablica","og_description":"The Coral Sul FLNG project, the only LNG initiative in production in Mozambique until 2025, generated $253 million in tax revenue between 2022 and 2025. Although significant, this figure is set against a fragile macroeconomic context. Mozambique&#8217;s GDP stands at around $22.4 billion. Sovereign debt exceeds $12.5 billion, and debt service accounts for an increasing","og_url":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/","og_site_name":"CIP - Centro de Integridade P\u00fablica","article_publisher":"https:\/\/web.facebook.com\/CIP.Mozambique\/","article_published_time":"2026-05-12T08:00:25+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-05-13T18:00:41+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1100,"height":631,"url":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/industria_extrativa1232.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"CIP Centro de integridade Publica","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@CIPMoz","twitter_site":"@CIPMoz","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"CIP Centro de integridade Publica","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/"},"author":{"name":"CIP Centro de integridade Publica","@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/pt\/#\/schema\/person\/c53d8d005fb6fbfa55503cd13321dab0"},"headline":"WHAT DOES ROVUMA GAS ACTUALLY BRING TO MOZAMBIQUE?","datePublished":"2026-05-12T08:00:25+00:00","dateModified":"2026-05-13T18:00:41+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/"},"wordCount":189,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/extrativa-industria.jpg","articleSection":["Ind\u00fastria extractiva"],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/","url":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/","name":"WHAT DOES ROVUMA GAS ACTUALLY BRING TO MOZAMBIQUE? - CIP - Centro de Integridade P\u00fablica","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/pt\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/extrativa-industria.jpg","datePublished":"2026-05-12T08:00:25+00:00","dateModified":"2026-05-13T18:00:41+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/pt\/#\/schema\/person\/c53d8d005fb6fbfa55503cd13321dab0"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/extrativa-industria.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/extrativa-industria.jpg","width":947,"height":357},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/2026\/05\/12\/what-does-rovuma-gas-actually-bring-to-mozambique-2\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"In\u00edcio","item":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"WHAT DOES ROVUMA GAS ACTUALLY BRING TO MOZAMBIQUE?"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/pt\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/pt\/","name":"CIP - Public Integrity Center","description":"Promotion of Transparency, Anti-corruption and Integrity in Mozambique.","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/pt\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/pt\/#\/schema\/person\/c53d8d005fb6fbfa55503cd13321dab0","name":"CIP Public integrity center","sameAs":["http:\/\/cipmoz.org"],"url":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/author\/ci3plmqz2in735293sf\/"}]}},"amp_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/extrativa-industria.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13744","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13744"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13744\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13757,"href":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13744\/revisions\/13757"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14117"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13744"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=13744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}