{"id":13793,"date":"2026-05-26T10:35:29","date_gmt":"2026-05-26T08:35:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/?p=13793"},"modified":"2026-05-26T08:07:22","modified_gmt":"2026-05-26T06:07:22","slug":"analysis-of-the-macro-fiscal-impacts-associated-with-the-persistent-foreign-currency-shortage-and-the-exchange-rate-the-case-of-mozambique-1990-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/2026\/05\/26\/analysis-of-the-macro-fiscal-impacts-associated-with-the-persistent-foreign-currency-shortage-and-the-exchange-rate-the-case-of-mozambique-1990-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"ANALYSIS OF THE MACRO-FISCAL IMPACTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE PERSISTENT FOREIGN CURRENCY SHORTAGE AND THE EXCHANGE RATE:  THE CASE OF MOZAMBIQUE (1990-2024)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;\">Mozambique has been facing a persistent shortage of foreign currency, with a significant accumulated backlog in external payments, particularly since 2024. However, official data show that, since 2021, the exchange rate has been relatively stable, a state that appears to be both unnatural and unrelated to current market conditions. The foreign exchange shortage and the unnatural stability of the exchange rate may have had negative macro-fiscal effects. These include a decline in economic activity, import restrictions on goods and services, rising prices, worsening fiscal deficits and increased public debt.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In this context, this paper seeks to empirically analyse the <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">relevant macro-fiscal impacts associated with persistent foreign exchange shortage and the exchange rate, using Mozambique as a case study. More specifically, this study determines the trends of its main variables (persistent foreign exchange shortages, the official exchange rate, gross domestic product, goods and services imports, inflation, the fiscal deficit, and overall public debt).<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Analysis-of-the-Macro-Fiscal-Impacts-Associated-With-the-Persistent-Foreign-Currency-Shortage-And-the-Exchange-Rate.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Read the full report<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mozambique has been facing a persistent shortage of foreign currency, with a significant accumulated backlog in external payments, particularly since 2024. However, official data show that, since 2021, the exchange rate has been relatively stable, a state that appears to be both unnatural and unrelated to current market conditions. The foreign exchange shortage and the<\/p>","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":13908,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_rtcl_gb_attr":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[],"coauthors":[64],"class_list":["post-13793","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-receitas-e-despesas-publicas"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ANALYSIS OF THE MACRO-FISCAL IMPACTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE PERSISTENT FOREIGN CURRENCY SHORTAGE AND THE EXCHANGE RATE: THE CASE OF MOZAMBIQUE (1990-2024) - CIP - Centro de Integridade P\u00fablica<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cipmoz.org\/en\/2026\/05\/26\/analysis-of-the-macro-fiscal-impacts-associated-with-the-persistent-foreign-currency-shortage-and-the-exchange-rate-the-case-of-mozambique-1990-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ANALYSIS OF THE MACRO-FISCAL IMPACTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE PERSISTENT FOREIGN CURRENCY SHORTAGE AND THE EXCHANGE RATE: THE CASE OF MOZAMBIQUE (1990-2024) - CIP - Centro de Integridade P\u00fablica\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Mozambique has been facing a persistent shortage of foreign currency, with a significant accumulated backlog in external payments, particularly since 2024. However, official data show that, since 2021, the exchange rate has been relatively stable, a state that appears to be both unnatural and unrelated to current market conditions. 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