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Home Economic situation What to monitor in a year of pandemic and war in Mozambique: – Analysis of the Economic and Social Conjuncture and Governance Perspectives for 2021

What to monitor in a year of pandemic and war in Mozambique: – Analysis of the Economic and Social Conjuncture and Governance Perspectives for 2021

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O que monitorar em ano de pandemia e guerra em Moçambique: – Análise da Conjuntura Económica e Social e Perspectivas de Governação para 2021

The year 2020 was atypical globally, marked by the Covid-19 pandemic that broke out in 2019 in China but spread and gained strength the following year, putting every country in the world in deep economic and social crisis. In Mozambique, in addition to Covid-19, last year was marked by the resurgence of the war in Cabo Delgado, which had been going on for three years but it was in 2020 that it reached large proportions, generating more than half a million displaced people and a crisis humanitarian aid that has no memory since the end of the civil war in 1992.

Against this background, the Mozambican economy contracted 1,091TP1Q in annual terms in the third quarter of 2020, a figure of 2.3 percentage points (pp) lower than in the same period of 2019.

The year 2021 will certainly be marked by these events that carry over from 2020. However, it will certainly be a different year from last year. So what can you expect from 2021? The present analysis, which focuses on CIP's traditional areas of work, namely, the Extractive Industry; Public Finances; Public-Private Partnerships (PPP), with a special focus on Infrastructure; Public Procurement and Anti-Corruption; and finally, on the Control Institutions and the Regulatory Framework, it is a contribution to help understand the current context and the governance challenges that are expected for the year that has just begun.

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